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    "textoCompleto" => "<span class="elsevierStyleSections"><span id="sec0001" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0007">Introduction</span><p id="para0005" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The infection by the new &#8220;Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2&#8243; &#40;SARS-CoV-2&#41; virus had its first cases recorded in the province of Wuhan&#44; China&#44; in December 2019&#44; rapidly becoming a global health emergency and&#44; consequently&#44; demanding collective efforts in the scientific community and society to minimize human distress&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0001"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0002"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span></a></p><p id="para0006" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">COVID-19 affected several age groups&#44; including children and adolescents&#44; with relevant direct and indirect impacts for this population&#44; vulnerable to various health complications&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0003"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0004"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span></a> Among the respiratory signs and symptoms&#44; the most frequent are those related to upper airway infection&#44; which can reach the lower respiratory tract with a need for mechanical ventilation in some cases&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span></a></p><p id="para0007" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Virus spread among children and adolescents has the same infection probability as in adults&#59; however&#44; the symptoms mostly occur in mild clinical forms&#46; However&#44; there can be disease deterioration to the severe phase &#40;dyspnea with central cyanosis&#41; or rapid progression to acute respiratory discomfort syndrome in the critical phase of the disease&#44; with a proportion of confirmed cases between 2&#46;5&#37; and 0&#46;4&#37; in these phases&#44; respectively&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0006"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">6</span></a></p><p id="para0008" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In 2020&#44; the estimated incidence and mortality due to confirmed COVID-19 cases in Brazil in the age group from 0 to 19 years old based on the microdata from the official bulletins in 27 Brazilian states was 559 cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#44; with higher estimates in the North &#40;1015 cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41; and Midwest &#40;711 cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41; regions&#46; A total of 800 deaths were recorded in this age group&#44; representing nearly 0&#46;7&#37; of the COVID-19-related deaths in the country&#44; with an estimated mortality of 0&#46;8&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants in the Midwest&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0007"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span></a></p><p id="para0009" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In the Brazilian Midwest region&#44; the state of Mato Grosso had the following estimated incidence and mortality rates for all confirmed cases until January 31st&#44; 2022&#58; 130&#46;84&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants and 0&#46;005&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#44; respectively&#46; Of all confirmed cases in the state&#44; 11&#46;5&#37; were in individuals between 0 and 20 years old&#44; with 55&#46;6&#37; prevalence in females and 8&#46;5&#37; presenting associated comorbidities&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0008"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a></p><p id="para0010" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">COVID-19 affected groups of people with variable severity and caused premature deaths&#44; leading to family and society distress and&#44; consequently&#44; to deterioration in the global panorama during the ongoing pandemic&#44; generating increased economic and psychological burdens&#46; In addition&#44; children&#39;s and adolescents&#39; greater exposure to new infectious agents due to the disease&#44; such as greater contact in social environments&#44; precarious hygiene conditions&#44; and sharing of objects&#44; contributed to the disease&#39;s high transmissibility and&#44; consequently&#44; to the deterioration of the pandemic situation&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0009"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">9</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0010"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">10</span></a></p><p id="para0011" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Added to the aforementioned context&#44; some children and adolescents live in extremely dense demographic regions with precarious living and sanitation conditions&#44; which increases the COVID-19 infection risk&#44; associated with the prevalent comorbidities of the disease like pulmonary diseases&#44; obesity&#44; and cardiovascular diseases&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0008"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0010"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">10</span></a></p><p id="para0012" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Given the scarcity of studies on the child and adolescent population&#44; it is fundamental to conduct an epidemiological monitoring study with trend analysis and identification of clusters at higher risk for illness to manage the preventive and care actions&#44; mainly in geographical and social areas still affected by the disease&#44; with a view to future epidemic cycles&#46;</p><p id="para0013" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study objective was to analyze the morbidity trend and space-time distribution clusters of confirmed COVID-19 cases among children and adolescents from 0 to 19 years old in Mato Grosso municipalities&#44; Midwest Brazil&#44; between 2020 and 2022&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0002" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0008">Methods</span><p id="para0014" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">An ecological study with analysis of space-time morbidity trends and identification of spatial clusters of confirmed COVID-19 cases in children and adolescents living in the municipalities from the state of Mato Grosso&#44; Brazilian Midwest&#44; from 2020 to 2022&#46;</p><p id="para0015" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The state of Mato Grosso is located in the Brazilian Midwest region&#46; Its population in 2021 was 3567&#44;234 inhabitants&#44; with 1091&#44;847 &#40;30&#46;61&#37;&#41; aged between 0 and 19 years old&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0011"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a> Currently&#44; the state has the third highest <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">per capita</span> Gross Domestic Product &#40;GDP&#41; in Brazil&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0012"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span></a> It has 141 municipalities distributed across seventeen health regions which&#44; to organize the health system during the pandemic&#44; were grouped into six health macro-regions &#40;Annex 01- Supplementary material&#41;&#44; implemented in the sixth version of the Contingency Plan for COVID-19 Control in Mato Grosso&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0013"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a></p><p id="para0016" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The children and adolescents in the study were those aged from 0 to 19 years old corresponding to confirmed COVID-19 cases &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 79&#44;592&#41; recorded in the INDICASUS information system&#44; made available by the epidemiological surveillance office of the Mato Grosso State Health Department &#40;SES&#47;MT&#41; from March 6th&#44; 2020&#44; to April 16th&#44; 2022&#44; and living in Mato Grosso municipalities&#46;</p><p id="para0017" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The COVID-19 cases considered were those confirmed through the following laboratory tests&#58; RT-PCR Test&#44; Rapid Test-IgM&#47;IgG and Rapid Test-Antigen Research &#40;Nasal Swab&#41;&#44; CLIA-Chemiluminescence&#44; ECLIA-Electrochemiluminescence&#44; ELISA-IgM and FIA-Immunofluorescence&#46;</p><p id="para0018" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The variables of interest for the study were gender &#40;female and male&#41;&#44; age group &#40;0&#8211;4&#44; 5&#8211;9&#44; 10&#8211;14&#44; and 15&#8211;19 years old&#41;&#44; clinical situation &#40;symptomatic and asymptomatic&#41; and presence of comorbidities &#40;yes and no&#41;&#46; Of the comorbidities recorded in the database&#44; the following were analyzed&#58; arterial hypertension&#59; diabetes <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">mellitus</span>&#59; cardiovascular&#44; pulmonary&#44; and kidney disease&#59; neoplasms&#59; and obesity&#46;</p><p id="para0019" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The COVID-19 monthly incidence rates in the population studied were estimated &#40;per 100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41; and calculated according to relative population and age group&#44; as per intercensal projections by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics for 2020 and 2021&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0011"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a> To characterize the time trend estimates&#44; a logarithmic transformation of the coefficients &#40;Y&#41; was performed&#44; as it allows for reducing heterogeneity of the variance of the residuals from the linear regression analysis&#44; that is&#44; the values of the difference between the points on the mean line and the time series points&#46;</p><p id="para0020" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The Prais-Winsten procedure was used for generalized linear regression analysis&#46; This model foresees first-order autocorrelation correction&#46; The Monthly Percentage Variation &#40;MPV&#41; of the trend estimate was calculated with the following expression&#58; MPV &#61; &#40;&#8722;1 &#43; 10<span class="elsevierStyleItalic"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">b</span></span>&#41;&#46;100&#37;&#46; Where &#8220;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">b&#8221;</span> is the monthly growth rate&#46; The MPV confidence interval &#40;CI&#41; was defined when CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; &#40;-1 &#43; 10<span class="elsevierStyleItalic"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">b&#177;t&#46;sd</span></span>&#41;&#46;100&#37;&#46; Where the &#8220;b&#8221; and &#8220;sd&#8221; standard deviation values were extracted from the regression analysis and the &#8220;t&#8221; value from the Student&#39;s <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">t</span> distribution&#46; The increasing&#44; decreasing or stationary trend was expressed as MPV&#44; with the respective confidence intervals &#40;95&#37;&#41;&#46; When the rate was positive&#44; the time series was considered increasing&#59; when negative&#44; it decreased&#59; and stationary when there was no significant difference between its value and zero&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0014"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">STATA</span>&#44; version 16&#44; was used&#46;</p><p id="para0021" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The incidence rates were calculated by the municipality and represented in thematic maps&#44; aggregated into 4 periods&#58; 1&#44; from 03&#47;2020 to 08&#47;2020&#59; 2&#44; from 09&#47;2020 to 03&#47;2021&#59; 3&#44; from 04&#47;2021 to 09&#47;2021&#59; and 4&#44; from 10&#47;2021 to 04&#47;2022&#46; The incidence rates per 100&#44;000 inhabitants were calculated using the Local Empirical Bayesian method&#44; with the aid of GeoD&#44; version 1&#46;2&#46; A neighborhood matrix based on the contiguity criterion was built for the Bayesian estimate&#46;</p><p id="para0022" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">SatScan&#44; version 10&#46;0&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span></a> was used to perform a circular space-time scan to identify clusters&#44; having as input parameter the discrete Poisson probability distribution&#44; definition of a 200 km radius&#44; and using plane coordinates &#40;X&#44; Y&#41; for the state&#39;s municipalities&#46; Statistical significance was performed with Monte Carlo simulation&#46;</p><p id="para0023" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">For estimating the Relative Risk &#40;RR&#41; and respective <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-values &#40;&#8804; 0&#46;05&#41; of each cluster&#44; a value was calculated that represents to which extent an area is more likely to have the event in relation to the other areas of the entire territorial extension studied&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span></a> The municipalities&#39; RRs were also calculated to better understand the dynamics of each cluster identified&#46; All maps were generated in ArcGis 9x &#40;ESRI Corp&#41;&#46;</p><p id="para0024" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The research protocol was approved by the Research Ethics Committee &#40;CEP&#41; of the Federal University of Mato Grosso &#8211; CEP SA&#218;DE&#47;UFMT&#44; under opinion No&#46; 4&#44;351&#44;125&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0003" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0009">Results</span><p id="para0025" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">During the study period&#44; 79&#44;592 confirmed COVID-19 cases were analyzed in children and adolescents in municipalities from the state of Mato Grosso&#46; Among these cases&#44; the diagnoses were mostly confirmed with the Nasal Swab-Antigen rapid test in the state&#44; corresponding to 45&#46;42&#37; &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 36&#44;151&#41; of the tests performed in the aforementioned age group and period&#46; There was a predominance of performing the RT-PCR test for the diagnosis of COVID-19 cases among the municipalities from the North&#44; West and Midwest macro-regions&#46;</p><p id="para0026" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Among the COVID-19 cases confirmed through laboratory tests&#44; 51&#46;6&#37; were females and 44&#46;21&#37; were from 15 to 19 years old&#44; followed by the age group from 10 to 14 years old &#40;23&#46;08&#37;&#41; &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0001">Table 1</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0001"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="para0027" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The mean monthly rate was 265&#46;87 cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#44; with a stationary trend during the period analyzed &#40;MPV&#61;12&#46;15&#59; CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; &#8722;0&#46;73&#59;26&#46;70&#41;&#46; The morbidity rate due to COVID-19 was higher in females &#40;283&#46;14&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41; and in the age group from 15 to 19 years old &#40;485&#46;90&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41;&#46; In both genders&#44; there was a stationary trend in the COVID-19 cases with MPV values of 11&#46;96&#37; &#40;CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; &#8722;0&#46;93&#59;26&#46;70&#41; in females and 12&#46;34&#37; &#40;CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; &#8722;0&#46;52&#59;26&#46;86&#41; in males&#46; As for age group&#44; it is observed that the first three categories &#40;0&#8211;4&#44; 5&#8211;9 and 10&#8211;14 years old&#41; showed an increasing trend&#44; evidencing higher MPV values &#91;14&#46;42&#37; &#40;CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; 1&#46;28&#59;29&#46;28&#41;&#93; among the individuals aged from 10 to 14 years old &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0001">Table 1</a>&#41;&#46;</p><p id="para0028" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall"><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0002">Table 2</a> shows that the clinical situation with the highest morbidity proportion corresponded to symptomatic children and adolescents &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 71&#44;862&#59; 90&#46;29&#37;&#41;&#46; Both the symptomatic and asymptomatic case trends were stationary over the study period&#46; In relation to the &#8220;comorbidity&#8221; variable&#44; there was a prevalence of cases with no comorbidities &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 76&#44;964&#59; 96&#46;70&#37;&#41;&#44; with an increasing trend in the time series analyzed &#40;MPV&#61;0&#46;41&#59; CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;&#58;</span>&#58; 0&#46;10&#59;0&#46;73&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0002"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="para0029" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">For the spatial distribution&#44; the cases analyzed were those from March 2020 to April 2022&#46; During this period&#44; a higher proportion of cases was verified among residents from the capital&#58; Cuiab&#225; &#40;13&#46;56&#37;&#59; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 10&#44;811&#41;&#46;</p><p id="para0030" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">At the beginning of the study&#44; the rates varied from 18 to 279&#46;8 cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#44; with the highest values in the central region of the state&#44; which corresponds to the Mid-Northeast&#44; North and South health macro-regions&#46; In the second and third periods&#44; increased incidence rates were observed in all macro-regions&#44; mainly in municipalities from the North and East macro-regions&#46; In the last period&#44; there was a reduction in incidence&#44; with higher values in the municipalities from the North&#44; East and South macro-regions &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0001">Figure 1</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0001"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="para0031" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The space-time scan identified 7 statistically significant high-risk clusters for COVID-19 incidence in children and adolescents and included most of the municipalities &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 104&#41;&#46; Of these&#44; 6 were identified between January and February 2022&#44; and only Cluster 4&#44; which includes 5 municipalities and has the lowest RR &#40;RR &#61; 2&#46;12&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#61; 0&#46;001&#41;&#44; was between February 2021 and February 2022 &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0002">Figure 2</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0002"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="para0032" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The cluster with the highest RR &#40;Cluster 1&#44; RR &#61; 5&#46;16&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#61; 0&#46;001&#41; included 19 municipalities&#44; most of them located in the North macro-region of the state and one from the Mid-North&#46; Clusters 2 and 6 &#40;RR&#58; 4&#46;71&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#61; 0&#46;001 and RR&#58; 3&#46;55&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#61; 0&#46;001&#44; respectively&#41; included 17 &#40;Cluster 2&#41; and 10 &#40;Cluster 6&#41; municipalities&#44; mostly from the East and South health macro-regions&#44; with only one municipality from Cluster 6 in the Mid-North macro-region &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0002">Figure 2</a>&#41;&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0004" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0010">Discussion</span><p id="para0033" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study results indicated that COVID-19 was more incident among female children and adolescents between 15 and 19 years old&#44; from 2020 to 2022 in Mato Grosso&#46; The COVID-19 monthly incidence estimate was stationary in the general study population and increasing in those aged less than 15 years old and in the cases with no comorbidities&#46; Among all municipalities&#44; the area at the highest risk for the disease included 19 municipalities&#44; located in the central area of the state and from the North and Mid-North health macro-regions&#46;</p><p id="para0034" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Previous studies also evidenced female predominance among the cases&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0016"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0017"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a> As for age&#44; other authors report that the transmission rate is higher in older children &#40;10&#8211;19 years old&#41;&#44; with consistently lower incidence reported among those between the ages of 0 and 10&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0016"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0018"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">18</span></a></p><p id="para0035" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The higher incidence in this age group can be explained by their inclusion in other environments&#44; in addition to school&#44; as the Consolidation of Labor Laws &#40;CLT&#41; considers ages between 15 and 19 years old suitable for the labor market as young apprentices&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0019"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a> favoring higher chances of disease transmission&#46; In addition&#44; adolescents tend to relate more socially when compared to the other age groups under study&#46;</p><p id="para0036" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Even with lower rates among younger age groups&#44; the under-14 group presented an increasing trend during the period analyzed&#46; Such a finding suggests that it can be due to the delay in releasing vaccination against COVID-19 for this age group&#44; as well as to a resumption of face-to-face classes without complete vaccination schedules&#44; increasing the virus transmission risk among children&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0020"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">20</span></a> Vaccination is important to interrupt the transmission chain and reduce severe cases&#44; thus avoiding high public expenditures on hospitalizations and deaths&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0021"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span></a> reducing the distress caused to the patients and family members involved&#46;</p><p id="para0037" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Immunization in the age group included in the study was initiated in 2021 and&#44; according to the Immunization Performance Panel against COVID-19 in Mato Grosso&#44; until October 15th&#44; 2022&#44; vaccination coverage of the first dose applied in adolescents from 12 to 17 years old was 82&#46;41&#37;&#44; 44&#46;87&#37; in the age group from 5 to 11 and&#44; from 3 to 4 years old&#44; coverage was 2&#46;26&#37;&#46; The panel also shows that the areas with higher coverage values of the 4th dose &#40;2nd booster dose&#41; applied correspond to the same areas with the reduced incidence among children and adolescents in the last study period&#44; suggesting that the strategies adopted across the locations are decisive in the COVID-19 surveillance process&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0020"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">20</span></a></p><p id="para0038" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In this study&#44; most of the children and adolescents diagnosed with COVID-19 had no comorbidities and the case notification trend was increasing in them&#44; in accordance with the study by Feldstein et al&#46;&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0022"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">22</span></a> which found prevalence of children and adolescents with no comorbidities &#40;73&#37;&#41;&#46; The decreasing trend in the occurrence of the disease among children&#47;adolescents with comorbidities can be explained by the vaccination strategy employed by the Ministry of Health&#44; which prioritizes age and the presence of comorbidities&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0023"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">23</span></a></p><p id="para0039" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Regarding spatial distribution&#44; the study presented the dynamics of the COVID-19 space-time distribution among children and adolescents in Mato Grosso between 2020 and 2022&#44; with higher prevalence in the North &#40;6 municipalities&#41;&#44; South &#40;1 municipality&#41; and Mid-Northwest &#40;2 municipalities&#41; macro-regions in the first period&#44; followed by diffused and increased rates in the other municipalities during periods 2 and 3 and a subsequent reduction in all health macro-regions during the last study period&#46;</p><p id="para0040" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Although there are still few studies addressing COVID-19 among children and adolescents&#44; it must be considered that there is significant transmissibility in this age group&#44; with rapid spread in Mato Grosso&#44; as evidenced in this study&#46; Some studies suggest that high transmissibility can result from diagnostic failures&#44; possibly explained by the occurrence of mild symptoms or even the absence of symptoms in this age group&#44; thus maintaining the spread of the disease&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0024"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">24</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0025"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">25</span></a></p><p id="para0041" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In addition to COVID-19 spread across the Mato Grosso municipalities&#44; it is also possible to identify a change in the disease spatial pattern during the last study period&#44; with a reduction in incidence in some areas&#44; distributed across all health macro-regions&#46; Among the strategies adopted to contain the disease&#44; it is important to highlight mass immunization of the population at risk&#44; in an attempt to reduce disease transmission and possible complications&#46; The action takes place in age group descending order and its distribution follows epidemiological criteria established by the Ministry of Health to control the pandemic&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0026"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0023"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">23</span></a></p><p id="para0042" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The space-time distribution of the Bayesian incidence rates allowed identifying possible high-rate clusters&#44; confirmed by the space-time scan analysis&#44; with areas with a 5-fold higher risk for the occurrence of the disease in the age group studied&#46; The space-time scan identified high-risk clusters that include most municipalities in the state&#44; showing the fast spatial dissemination of the disease across the state&#46;</p><p id="para0043" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The areas identified as at the highest risk for COVID-19 occurrence in children and adolescents correspond to the central part of the state&#44; located in the North macro-region&#44; which currently presents significant economic growth driven by the emergence of new agricultural and economic frontiers&#59; this dynamism also results in rapid spatial dissemination via contagion&#44; for being a communicable disease&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0027"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">27</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0028"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span></a> The intense and rapidly increasing transportation flow existing in this macro-region<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0029"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">29</span></a> favors the transmission of contagious diseases like COVID-19&#44; even among younger populations&#44; which present lower COVID-19 illness&#47;deterioration risks&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0024"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">24</span></a></p><p id="para0044" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The spread of infectious diseases like COVID-19 is associated with socioeconomic&#44; environmental&#44; and health service factors&#46; Places with higher demographic density&#44; social inequality&#44; precarious housing conditions&#44; disadvantaged socioeconomic conditions&#44; and flaws in the planning of health actions directly contribute to maintaining the COVID-19 transmission cycle in all age groups&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0030"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">30</span></a></p><p id="para0045" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Identifying space-time patterns becomes complex when dealing with rapidly disseminating diseases like COVID-19&#46; Although these municipalities have smaller territorial spaces&#44; they also present their own demographic&#44; socioeconomic&#44; and political dynamics&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0028"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span></a> Public policies for COVID-19 prevention and control&#44; access to such services and adherence to containment measures can mitigate or accentuate its transmission and effects and&#44; therefore&#44; justify heterogeneity in the spread and confrontation of the pandemic across different locations&#46;</p><p id="para0046" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study has as a limitation its use of secondary data from case notifications&#44; which may incur errors during the data digitization process&#44; in addition to possible underreporting&#44; which directly depends on the surveillance actions implemented <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">in loco</span> and the policies for testing and coping with the disease&#46; In addition&#44; in the age group studied&#44; COVID-19 mostly presents itself as mild or asymptomatic cases&#44; increasing underreporting due to a lack of demand for medical care and subsequent confirmation of cases through diagnostic tests&#46;</p><p id="para0047" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">It is important to highlight that there may be underdiagnosis in children and adolescents &#40;0 &#8211; 19 years old&#41;&#44; as they are asymptomatic or oligosymptomatic&#44; not requiring medical care and&#44; therefore&#44; there is no diagnosis of the disease&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0017"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0018"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">18</span></a> However&#44; the current study included cases confirmed through laboratory tests&#44; which confers robustness to its main findings&#46;</p><p id="para0048" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The findings indicated a monthly stationary trend in the study population&#44; an increase in the age group from 10 to 14 years old&#44; and areas at higher risk for the disease in the North health macro-region of the state&#46;</p><p id="para0049" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This study contributes diverse evidence on space-time analyses&#44; allowing visualization of the disease dynamics and areas at higher risk for its occurrence&#44; contributing to orientation and planning of more specific and localized strategic actions to reduce the magnitude of the disease&#46;</p><p id="para0050" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">However&#44; the importance of other studies is highlighted to complement the analysis of the COVID-19 cases&#44; such as individualized surveys associated with sociodemographic&#44; cultural&#44; behavioral&#44; and environmental aspects&#46;</p></span></span>"
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        "titulo" => "Abstract"
        "resumen" => "<span id="abss0001" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0002">Objective</span><p id="spara009" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">To analyze the morbidity trend and space-time distribution clusters of confirmed COVID-19 cases in children and adolescents&#46;</p></span> <span id="abss0002" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0003">Method</span><p id="spara010" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">An ecological study of COVID-19 cases confirmed in the Information System from 2020 to 2022 in the age group from 0 to 19 years old&#44; residents in Mato Grosso municipalities&#44; Brazilian Midwest region&#46; A trend analysis of the monthly morbidity rate of cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants was used&#44; following <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Prais-Winsten</span>&#39;s regression&#46; A space-time distribution of the Bayesian incidence rate per 100&#44;000 inhabitants was performed&#44; in addition to a space-time scan to identify high-risk clusters&#46;</p></span> <span id="abss0003" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0004">Results</span><p id="spara011" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Of all 79&#44;592 COVID-19 cases studied&#44; 51&#46;6&#37; were in females and 44&#46;21&#37; in people aged 15&#8211;19 years old&#46; The mean monthly rate was 265&#46;87 cases per 100&#44;000 inhabitants&#44; with a stationary trend in the period analyzed &#40;Monthly Percentage Variation &#91;MPV&#93;&#41; &#61; 12&#46;15&#59; CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; -0&#46;73&#59;26&#46;70&#41;&#46; The morbidity rate due to COVID-19 was higher in the female gender &#40;283&#46;14&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41; and in the age group from 15 to 19 years old &#40;485&#46;90&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41;&#46; An increasing trend was observed with a greater monthly time variation of 14&#46;42&#37; &#40;CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; 1&#46;28&#59;29&#46;28&#41;&#93; among those aged from 10 to 14 years old&#46; The primary cluster&#44; which was also the one with the highest Relative Risk &#40;RR &#61; 5&#44;16&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#61; 0&#46;001&#41;&#44; included 19 municipalities located in the North health macro-region&#46;</p></span> <span id="abss0004" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0005">Conclusion</span><p id="spara012" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">The findings indicated a monthly stationary trend in the study population&#44; an increase in the age group from 10 to 14 years old&#44; and areas at a higher risk for the disease in the North health macro-region of the state&#46;</p></span>"
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            "etiqueta" => "Appendix"
            "titulo" => "Supplementary materials"
            "identificador" => "sec0006"
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        ]
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      0 => array:8 [
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        "etiqueta" => "Figure 1"
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          "en" => "<p id="spara001" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Space-time distribution of the COVID-19&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants Bayesian incidence rates among children and adolescents aged from 0 to 19 years old&#44; Mato Grosso&#44; Brazil &#40;2020&#8211;2022&#41;&#46; Source&#58; Data from the INDICASUS Information System&#59; Mato Grosso &#40;SES&#47;MT&#41;&#46;</p>"
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        "identificador" => "fig0002"
        "etiqueta" => "Figure 2"
        "tipo" => "MULTIMEDIAFIGURA"
        "mostrarFloat" => true
        "mostrarDisplay" => false
        "figura" => array:1 [
          0 => array:4 [
            "imagen" => "gr2.jpeg"
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          "en" => "<p id="spara002" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Space-time clusters at high risk for COVID-19 among children and adolescents aged from 0 to 19 years old&#44; Mato Grosso&#44; Brazil &#40;2020&#8211;2022&#41;&#46; Source&#58; Data from the INDICASUS Information System&#59; Mato Grosso &#40;SES&#47;MT&#41;&#46;</p>"
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                0 => """
                  <table border="0" frame="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\tvoid\n
                  \t\t\t\t" class=""><thead title="thead"><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0001"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">Variables&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0002"></a><th class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_colgroup " colspan="2" align="center" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">Morbidity n &#40;&#37;&#41;</th><a name="en0003"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">RateMarch2020&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0004"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">RateMarch2022&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">RateMean&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0006"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">MPV<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tb1fn1"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">a</span></a>&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0007"></a><th class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_colgroup " colspan="2" align="center" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tb1fn2"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">b</span></a></th><a name="en0008"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">Interpretation&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th></tr></thead><tbody title="tbody"><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0009"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">General&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0010"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">79&#44;592&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0011"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;100&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0012"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">3&#46;94&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0013"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">135&#46;01&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0014"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">265&#46;87&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0015"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">12&#46;15&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0016"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#8722;0&#46;73&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0017"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">26&#46;70&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0018"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Stationary&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0019"></a><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_colgroup " colspan="10" align="left" valign="top">Gender</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0020"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>Female&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0021"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">41&#44;077&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0022"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;51&#46;61&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0023"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">4&#46;03&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0024"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">133&#46;96&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0025"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">283&#46;14&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0026"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">11&#46;96&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0027"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#8722;0&#46;93&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0028"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">26&#46;54&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0029"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Stationary&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0030"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>Male&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0031"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">38&#44;515&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0032"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;48&#46;39&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0033"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">3&#46;85&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0034"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">136&#46;02&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0035"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">248&#46;21&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0036"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">12&#46;34&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0037"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#8722;0&#46;52&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0038"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">26&#46;86&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0039"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Stationary&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0040"></a><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_colgroup " colspan="10" align="left" valign="top">Age group</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0041"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#8211;4 years old&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0042"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">13&#44;005&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0043"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;16&#46;34&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0044"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">7&#46;36&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0045"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">129&#46;24&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0046"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">168&#46;38&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0047"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">10&#46;63&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0048"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">0&#46;11&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0049"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">22&#46;26&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0050"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Increasing&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0051"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#8211;9 years old&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0052"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">13&#44;026&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0053"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;16&#46;37&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0054"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">3&#46;84&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0055"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">131&#46;77&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0056"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">138&#46;43&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0057"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">13&#46;09&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0058"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">0&#46;80&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0059"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">26&#46;88&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0060"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Increasing&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0061"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#8211;14 years old&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0062"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">18&#44;367&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0063"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;23&#46;08&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0064"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">1&#46;82&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0065"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">131&#46;24&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0066"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">207&#46;72&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0067"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">14&#46;42&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0068"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">1&#46;28&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0069"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">29&#46;28&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0070"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Increasing&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0071"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>15&#8211;19 years old&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0072"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">35&#44;194&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0073"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;44&#46;21&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0074"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">3&#46;14&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0075"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
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                      "titulo" => "Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan&#44; China&#44; of novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia"
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                          "etal" => true
                          "autores" => array:6 [
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                            2 => "P&#46; Wu"
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                            4 => "L&#46; Zhou"
                            5 => "Y&#46; Tong"
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                            2 => "D&#46;M&#46; Porto"
                            3 => "A&#46;G&#46; Silva"
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Original article
Morbidity trend and space-time clusters of COVID-19 occurrence in children and adolescents
Camila Beatriz Alves da Rochaa,
Corresponding author
camila.rocha@sou.ufmt.br

Corresponding author.
, Lúbia Maieles Gomes Machadob, Pãmela Rodrigues de Souza Silvaa, Bruna Hinnah Borges Martins de Freitasc, Iara Denise Endruweit Battistid, Emerson Soares dos Santose, Silvana Margarida Benevides Ferreiraa
a Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso (UFMT), Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem, Cuiabá, MT, Brazil
b Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso (UFMT), Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva, Cuiabá, MT, Brazil
c Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso (UFMT), Faculdade de Enfermagem, Cuiabá, MT, Brazil
d Universidade Federal da Fronteira Sul (UFFS), Programa de Pós-Graduação em Desenvolvimento e Políticas Públicas, Cerro Largo, RS, Brazil
e Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso (UFMT), Departamento de Geografia, Cuiabá, MT, Brazil
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    "textoCompleto" => "<span class="elsevierStyleSections"><span id="sec0001" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0007">Introduction</span><p id="para0005" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The infection by the new &#8220;Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2&#8243; &#40;SARS-CoV-2&#41; virus had its first cases recorded in the province of Wuhan&#44; China&#44; in December 2019&#44; rapidly becoming a global health emergency and&#44; consequently&#44; demanding collective efforts in the scientific community and society to minimize human distress&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0001"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0002"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span></a></p><p id="para0006" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">COVID-19 affected several age groups&#44; including children and adolescents&#44; with relevant direct and indirect impacts for this population&#44; vulnerable to various health complications&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0003"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0004"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span></a> Among the respiratory signs and symptoms&#44; the most frequent are those related to upper airway infection&#44; which can reach the lower respiratory tract with a need for mechanical ventilation in some cases&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span></a></p><p id="para0007" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Virus spread among children and adolescents has the same infection probability as in adults&#59; however&#44; the symptoms mostly occur in mild clinical forms&#46; However&#44; there can be disease deterioration to the severe phase &#40;dyspnea with central cyanosis&#41; or rapid progression to acute respiratory discomfort syndrome in the critical phase of the disease&#44; with a proportion of confirmed cases between 2&#46;5&#37; and 0&#46;4&#37; in these phases&#44; respectively&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0006"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">6</span></a></p><p id="para0008" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In 2020&#44; the estimated incidence and mortality due to confirmed COVID-19 cases in Brazil in the age group from 0 to 19 years old based on the microdata from the official bulletins in 27 Brazilian states was 559 cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#44; with higher estimates in the North &#40;1015 cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41; and Midwest &#40;711 cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41; regions&#46; A total of 800 deaths were recorded in this age group&#44; representing nearly 0&#46;7&#37; of the COVID-19-related deaths in the country&#44; with an estimated mortality of 0&#46;8&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants in the Midwest&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0007"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span></a></p><p id="para0009" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In the Brazilian Midwest region&#44; the state of Mato Grosso had the following estimated incidence and mortality rates for all confirmed cases until January 31st&#44; 2022&#58; 130&#46;84&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants and 0&#46;005&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#44; respectively&#46; Of all confirmed cases in the state&#44; 11&#46;5&#37; were in individuals between 0 and 20 years old&#44; with 55&#46;6&#37; prevalence in females and 8&#46;5&#37; presenting associated comorbidities&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0008"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a></p><p id="para0010" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">COVID-19 affected groups of people with variable severity and caused premature deaths&#44; leading to family and society distress and&#44; consequently&#44; to deterioration in the global panorama during the ongoing pandemic&#44; generating increased economic and psychological burdens&#46; In addition&#44; children&#39;s and adolescents&#39; greater exposure to new infectious agents due to the disease&#44; such as greater contact in social environments&#44; precarious hygiene conditions&#44; and sharing of objects&#44; contributed to the disease&#39;s high transmissibility and&#44; consequently&#44; to the deterioration of the pandemic situation&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0009"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">9</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0010"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">10</span></a></p><p id="para0011" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Added to the aforementioned context&#44; some children and adolescents live in extremely dense demographic regions with precarious living and sanitation conditions&#44; which increases the COVID-19 infection risk&#44; associated with the prevalent comorbidities of the disease like pulmonary diseases&#44; obesity&#44; and cardiovascular diseases&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0008"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0010"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">10</span></a></p><p id="para0012" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Given the scarcity of studies on the child and adolescent population&#44; it is fundamental to conduct an epidemiological monitoring study with trend analysis and identification of clusters at higher risk for illness to manage the preventive and care actions&#44; mainly in geographical and social areas still affected by the disease&#44; with a view to future epidemic cycles&#46;</p><p id="para0013" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study objective was to analyze the morbidity trend and space-time distribution clusters of confirmed COVID-19 cases among children and adolescents from 0 to 19 years old in Mato Grosso municipalities&#44; Midwest Brazil&#44; between 2020 and 2022&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0002" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0008">Methods</span><p id="para0014" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">An ecological study with analysis of space-time morbidity trends and identification of spatial clusters of confirmed COVID-19 cases in children and adolescents living in the municipalities from the state of Mato Grosso&#44; Brazilian Midwest&#44; from 2020 to 2022&#46;</p><p id="para0015" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The state of Mato Grosso is located in the Brazilian Midwest region&#46; Its population in 2021 was 3567&#44;234 inhabitants&#44; with 1091&#44;847 &#40;30&#46;61&#37;&#41; aged between 0 and 19 years old&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0011"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a> Currently&#44; the state has the third highest <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">per capita</span> Gross Domestic Product &#40;GDP&#41; in Brazil&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0012"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span></a> It has 141 municipalities distributed across seventeen health regions which&#44; to organize the health system during the pandemic&#44; were grouped into six health macro-regions &#40;Annex 01- Supplementary material&#41;&#44; implemented in the sixth version of the Contingency Plan for COVID-19 Control in Mato Grosso&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0013"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a></p><p id="para0016" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The children and adolescents in the study were those aged from 0 to 19 years old corresponding to confirmed COVID-19 cases &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 79&#44;592&#41; recorded in the INDICASUS information system&#44; made available by the epidemiological surveillance office of the Mato Grosso State Health Department &#40;SES&#47;MT&#41; from March 6th&#44; 2020&#44; to April 16th&#44; 2022&#44; and living in Mato Grosso municipalities&#46;</p><p id="para0017" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The COVID-19 cases considered were those confirmed through the following laboratory tests&#58; RT-PCR Test&#44; Rapid Test-IgM&#47;IgG and Rapid Test-Antigen Research &#40;Nasal Swab&#41;&#44; CLIA-Chemiluminescence&#44; ECLIA-Electrochemiluminescence&#44; ELISA-IgM and FIA-Immunofluorescence&#46;</p><p id="para0018" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The variables of interest for the study were gender &#40;female and male&#41;&#44; age group &#40;0&#8211;4&#44; 5&#8211;9&#44; 10&#8211;14&#44; and 15&#8211;19 years old&#41;&#44; clinical situation &#40;symptomatic and asymptomatic&#41; and presence of comorbidities &#40;yes and no&#41;&#46; Of the comorbidities recorded in the database&#44; the following were analyzed&#58; arterial hypertension&#59; diabetes <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">mellitus</span>&#59; cardiovascular&#44; pulmonary&#44; and kidney disease&#59; neoplasms&#59; and obesity&#46;</p><p id="para0019" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The COVID-19 monthly incidence rates in the population studied were estimated &#40;per 100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41; and calculated according to relative population and age group&#44; as per intercensal projections by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics for 2020 and 2021&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0011"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a> To characterize the time trend estimates&#44; a logarithmic transformation of the coefficients &#40;Y&#41; was performed&#44; as it allows for reducing heterogeneity of the variance of the residuals from the linear regression analysis&#44; that is&#44; the values of the difference between the points on the mean line and the time series points&#46;</p><p id="para0020" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The Prais-Winsten procedure was used for generalized linear regression analysis&#46; This model foresees first-order autocorrelation correction&#46; The Monthly Percentage Variation &#40;MPV&#41; of the trend estimate was calculated with the following expression&#58; MPV &#61; &#40;&#8722;1 &#43; 10<span class="elsevierStyleItalic"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">b</span></span>&#41;&#46;100&#37;&#46; Where &#8220;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">b&#8221;</span> is the monthly growth rate&#46; The MPV confidence interval &#40;CI&#41; was defined when CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; &#40;-1 &#43; 10<span class="elsevierStyleItalic"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">b&#177;t&#46;sd</span></span>&#41;&#46;100&#37;&#46; Where the &#8220;b&#8221; and &#8220;sd&#8221; standard deviation values were extracted from the regression analysis and the &#8220;t&#8221; value from the Student&#39;s <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">t</span> distribution&#46; The increasing&#44; decreasing or stationary trend was expressed as MPV&#44; with the respective confidence intervals &#40;95&#37;&#41;&#46; When the rate was positive&#44; the time series was considered increasing&#59; when negative&#44; it decreased&#59; and stationary when there was no significant difference between its value and zero&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0014"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">STATA</span>&#44; version 16&#44; was used&#46;</p><p id="para0021" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The incidence rates were calculated by the municipality and represented in thematic maps&#44; aggregated into 4 periods&#58; 1&#44; from 03&#47;2020 to 08&#47;2020&#59; 2&#44; from 09&#47;2020 to 03&#47;2021&#59; 3&#44; from 04&#47;2021 to 09&#47;2021&#59; and 4&#44; from 10&#47;2021 to 04&#47;2022&#46; The incidence rates per 100&#44;000 inhabitants were calculated using the Local Empirical Bayesian method&#44; with the aid of GeoD&#44; version 1&#46;2&#46; A neighborhood matrix based on the contiguity criterion was built for the Bayesian estimate&#46;</p><p id="para0022" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">SatScan&#44; version 10&#46;0&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span></a> was used to perform a circular space-time scan to identify clusters&#44; having as input parameter the discrete Poisson probability distribution&#44; definition of a 200 km radius&#44; and using plane coordinates &#40;X&#44; Y&#41; for the state&#39;s municipalities&#46; Statistical significance was performed with Monte Carlo simulation&#46;</p><p id="para0023" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">For estimating the Relative Risk &#40;RR&#41; and respective <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-values &#40;&#8804; 0&#46;05&#41; of each cluster&#44; a value was calculated that represents to which extent an area is more likely to have the event in relation to the other areas of the entire territorial extension studied&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span></a> The municipalities&#39; RRs were also calculated to better understand the dynamics of each cluster identified&#46; All maps were generated in ArcGis 9x &#40;ESRI Corp&#41;&#46;</p><p id="para0024" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The research protocol was approved by the Research Ethics Committee &#40;CEP&#41; of the Federal University of Mato Grosso &#8211; CEP SA&#218;DE&#47;UFMT&#44; under opinion No&#46; 4&#44;351&#44;125&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0003" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0009">Results</span><p id="para0025" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">During the study period&#44; 79&#44;592 confirmed COVID-19 cases were analyzed in children and adolescents in municipalities from the state of Mato Grosso&#46; Among these cases&#44; the diagnoses were mostly confirmed with the Nasal Swab-Antigen rapid test in the state&#44; corresponding to 45&#46;42&#37; &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 36&#44;151&#41; of the tests performed in the aforementioned age group and period&#46; There was a predominance of performing the RT-PCR test for the diagnosis of COVID-19 cases among the municipalities from the North&#44; West and Midwest macro-regions&#46;</p><p id="para0026" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Among the COVID-19 cases confirmed through laboratory tests&#44; 51&#46;6&#37; were females and 44&#46;21&#37; were from 15 to 19 years old&#44; followed by the age group from 10 to 14 years old &#40;23&#46;08&#37;&#41; &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0001">Table 1</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0001"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="para0027" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The mean monthly rate was 265&#46;87 cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#44; with a stationary trend during the period analyzed &#40;MPV&#61;12&#46;15&#59; CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; &#8722;0&#46;73&#59;26&#46;70&#41;&#46; The morbidity rate due to COVID-19 was higher in females &#40;283&#46;14&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41; and in the age group from 15 to 19 years old &#40;485&#46;90&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41;&#46; In both genders&#44; there was a stationary trend in the COVID-19 cases with MPV values of 11&#46;96&#37; &#40;CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; &#8722;0&#46;93&#59;26&#46;70&#41; in females and 12&#46;34&#37; &#40;CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; &#8722;0&#46;52&#59;26&#46;86&#41; in males&#46; As for age group&#44; it is observed that the first three categories &#40;0&#8211;4&#44; 5&#8211;9 and 10&#8211;14 years old&#41; showed an increasing trend&#44; evidencing higher MPV values &#91;14&#46;42&#37; &#40;CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; 1&#46;28&#59;29&#46;28&#41;&#93; among the individuals aged from 10 to 14 years old &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0001">Table 1</a>&#41;&#46;</p><p id="para0028" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall"><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0002">Table 2</a> shows that the clinical situation with the highest morbidity proportion corresponded to symptomatic children and adolescents &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 71&#44;862&#59; 90&#46;29&#37;&#41;&#46; Both the symptomatic and asymptomatic case trends were stationary over the study period&#46; In relation to the &#8220;comorbidity&#8221; variable&#44; there was a prevalence of cases with no comorbidities &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 76&#44;964&#59; 96&#46;70&#37;&#41;&#44; with an increasing trend in the time series analyzed &#40;MPV&#61;0&#46;41&#59; CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;&#58;</span>&#58; 0&#46;10&#59;0&#46;73&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0002"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="para0029" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">For the spatial distribution&#44; the cases analyzed were those from March 2020 to April 2022&#46; During this period&#44; a higher proportion of cases was verified among residents from the capital&#58; Cuiab&#225; &#40;13&#46;56&#37;&#59; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 10&#44;811&#41;&#46;</p><p id="para0030" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">At the beginning of the study&#44; the rates varied from 18 to 279&#46;8 cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#44; with the highest values in the central region of the state&#44; which corresponds to the Mid-Northeast&#44; North and South health macro-regions&#46; In the second and third periods&#44; increased incidence rates were observed in all macro-regions&#44; mainly in municipalities from the North and East macro-regions&#46; In the last period&#44; there was a reduction in incidence&#44; with higher values in the municipalities from the North&#44; East and South macro-regions &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0001">Figure 1</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0001"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="para0031" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The space-time scan identified 7 statistically significant high-risk clusters for COVID-19 incidence in children and adolescents and included most of the municipalities &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span> &#61; 104&#41;&#46; Of these&#44; 6 were identified between January and February 2022&#44; and only Cluster 4&#44; which includes 5 municipalities and has the lowest RR &#40;RR &#61; 2&#46;12&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#61; 0&#46;001&#41;&#44; was between February 2021 and February 2022 &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0002">Figure 2</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0002"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="para0032" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The cluster with the highest RR &#40;Cluster 1&#44; RR &#61; 5&#46;16&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#61; 0&#46;001&#41; included 19 municipalities&#44; most of them located in the North macro-region of the state and one from the Mid-North&#46; Clusters 2 and 6 &#40;RR&#58; 4&#46;71&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#61; 0&#46;001 and RR&#58; 3&#46;55&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#61; 0&#46;001&#44; respectively&#41; included 17 &#40;Cluster 2&#41; and 10 &#40;Cluster 6&#41; municipalities&#44; mostly from the East and South health macro-regions&#44; with only one municipality from Cluster 6 in the Mid-North macro-region &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0002">Figure 2</a>&#41;&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0004" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0010">Discussion</span><p id="para0033" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study results indicated that COVID-19 was more incident among female children and adolescents between 15 and 19 years old&#44; from 2020 to 2022 in Mato Grosso&#46; The COVID-19 monthly incidence estimate was stationary in the general study population and increasing in those aged less than 15 years old and in the cases with no comorbidities&#46; Among all municipalities&#44; the area at the highest risk for the disease included 19 municipalities&#44; located in the central area of the state and from the North and Mid-North health macro-regions&#46;</p><p id="para0034" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Previous studies also evidenced female predominance among the cases&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0016"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0017"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a> As for age&#44; other authors report that the transmission rate is higher in older children &#40;10&#8211;19 years old&#41;&#44; with consistently lower incidence reported among those between the ages of 0 and 10&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0016"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0018"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">18</span></a></p><p id="para0035" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The higher incidence in this age group can be explained by their inclusion in other environments&#44; in addition to school&#44; as the Consolidation of Labor Laws &#40;CLT&#41; considers ages between 15 and 19 years old suitable for the labor market as young apprentices&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0019"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a> favoring higher chances of disease transmission&#46; In addition&#44; adolescents tend to relate more socially when compared to the other age groups under study&#46;</p><p id="para0036" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Even with lower rates among younger age groups&#44; the under-14 group presented an increasing trend during the period analyzed&#46; Such a finding suggests that it can be due to the delay in releasing vaccination against COVID-19 for this age group&#44; as well as to a resumption of face-to-face classes without complete vaccination schedules&#44; increasing the virus transmission risk among children&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0020"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">20</span></a> Vaccination is important to interrupt the transmission chain and reduce severe cases&#44; thus avoiding high public expenditures on hospitalizations and deaths&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0021"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span></a> reducing the distress caused to the patients and family members involved&#46;</p><p id="para0037" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Immunization in the age group included in the study was initiated in 2021 and&#44; according to the Immunization Performance Panel against COVID-19 in Mato Grosso&#44; until October 15th&#44; 2022&#44; vaccination coverage of the first dose applied in adolescents from 12 to 17 years old was 82&#46;41&#37;&#44; 44&#46;87&#37; in the age group from 5 to 11 and&#44; from 3 to 4 years old&#44; coverage was 2&#46;26&#37;&#46; The panel also shows that the areas with higher coverage values of the 4th dose &#40;2nd booster dose&#41; applied correspond to the same areas with the reduced incidence among children and adolescents in the last study period&#44; suggesting that the strategies adopted across the locations are decisive in the COVID-19 surveillance process&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0020"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">20</span></a></p><p id="para0038" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In this study&#44; most of the children and adolescents diagnosed with COVID-19 had no comorbidities and the case notification trend was increasing in them&#44; in accordance with the study by Feldstein et al&#46;&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0022"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">22</span></a> which found prevalence of children and adolescents with no comorbidities &#40;73&#37;&#41;&#46; The decreasing trend in the occurrence of the disease among children&#47;adolescents with comorbidities can be explained by the vaccination strategy employed by the Ministry of Health&#44; which prioritizes age and the presence of comorbidities&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0023"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">23</span></a></p><p id="para0039" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Regarding spatial distribution&#44; the study presented the dynamics of the COVID-19 space-time distribution among children and adolescents in Mato Grosso between 2020 and 2022&#44; with higher prevalence in the North &#40;6 municipalities&#41;&#44; South &#40;1 municipality&#41; and Mid-Northwest &#40;2 municipalities&#41; macro-regions in the first period&#44; followed by diffused and increased rates in the other municipalities during periods 2 and 3 and a subsequent reduction in all health macro-regions during the last study period&#46;</p><p id="para0040" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Although there are still few studies addressing COVID-19 among children and adolescents&#44; it must be considered that there is significant transmissibility in this age group&#44; with rapid spread in Mato Grosso&#44; as evidenced in this study&#46; Some studies suggest that high transmissibility can result from diagnostic failures&#44; possibly explained by the occurrence of mild symptoms or even the absence of symptoms in this age group&#44; thus maintaining the spread of the disease&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0024"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">24</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0025"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">25</span></a></p><p id="para0041" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In addition to COVID-19 spread across the Mato Grosso municipalities&#44; it is also possible to identify a change in the disease spatial pattern during the last study period&#44; with a reduction in incidence in some areas&#44; distributed across all health macro-regions&#46; Among the strategies adopted to contain the disease&#44; it is important to highlight mass immunization of the population at risk&#44; in an attempt to reduce disease transmission and possible complications&#46; The action takes place in age group descending order and its distribution follows epidemiological criteria established by the Ministry of Health to control the pandemic&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0026"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0023"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">23</span></a></p><p id="para0042" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The space-time distribution of the Bayesian incidence rates allowed identifying possible high-rate clusters&#44; confirmed by the space-time scan analysis&#44; with areas with a 5-fold higher risk for the occurrence of the disease in the age group studied&#46; The space-time scan identified high-risk clusters that include most municipalities in the state&#44; showing the fast spatial dissemination of the disease across the state&#46;</p><p id="para0043" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The areas identified as at the highest risk for COVID-19 occurrence in children and adolescents correspond to the central part of the state&#44; located in the North macro-region&#44; which currently presents significant economic growth driven by the emergence of new agricultural and economic frontiers&#59; this dynamism also results in rapid spatial dissemination via contagion&#44; for being a communicable disease&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0027"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">27</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0028"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span></a> The intense and rapidly increasing transportation flow existing in this macro-region<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0029"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">29</span></a> favors the transmission of contagious diseases like COVID-19&#44; even among younger populations&#44; which present lower COVID-19 illness&#47;deterioration risks&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0024"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">24</span></a></p><p id="para0044" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The spread of infectious diseases like COVID-19 is associated with socioeconomic&#44; environmental&#44; and health service factors&#46; Places with higher demographic density&#44; social inequality&#44; precarious housing conditions&#44; disadvantaged socioeconomic conditions&#44; and flaws in the planning of health actions directly contribute to maintaining the COVID-19 transmission cycle in all age groups&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0030"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">30</span></a></p><p id="para0045" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Identifying space-time patterns becomes complex when dealing with rapidly disseminating diseases like COVID-19&#46; Although these municipalities have smaller territorial spaces&#44; they also present their own demographic&#44; socioeconomic&#44; and political dynamics&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0028"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span></a> Public policies for COVID-19 prevention and control&#44; access to such services and adherence to containment measures can mitigate or accentuate its transmission and effects and&#44; therefore&#44; justify heterogeneity in the spread and confrontation of the pandemic across different locations&#46;</p><p id="para0046" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study has as a limitation its use of secondary data from case notifications&#44; which may incur errors during the data digitization process&#44; in addition to possible underreporting&#44; which directly depends on the surveillance actions implemented <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">in loco</span> and the policies for testing and coping with the disease&#46; In addition&#44; in the age group studied&#44; COVID-19 mostly presents itself as mild or asymptomatic cases&#44; increasing underreporting due to a lack of demand for medical care and subsequent confirmation of cases through diagnostic tests&#46;</p><p id="para0047" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">It is important to highlight that there may be underdiagnosis in children and adolescents &#40;0 &#8211; 19 years old&#41;&#44; as they are asymptomatic or oligosymptomatic&#44; not requiring medical care and&#44; therefore&#44; there is no diagnosis of the disease&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0017"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#44;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0018"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">18</span></a> However&#44; the current study included cases confirmed through laboratory tests&#44; which confers robustness to its main findings&#46;</p><p id="para0048" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The findings indicated a monthly stationary trend in the study population&#44; an increase in the age group from 10 to 14 years old&#44; and areas at higher risk for the disease in the North health macro-region of the state&#46;</p><p id="para0049" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This study contributes diverse evidence on space-time analyses&#44; allowing visualization of the disease dynamics and areas at higher risk for its occurrence&#44; contributing to orientation and planning of more specific and localized strategic actions to reduce the magnitude of the disease&#46;</p><p id="para0050" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">However&#44; the importance of other studies is highlighted to complement the analysis of the COVID-19 cases&#44; such as individualized surveys associated with sociodemographic&#44; cultural&#44; behavioral&#44; and environmental aspects&#46;</p></span></span>"
    "textoCompletoSecciones" => array:1 [
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        2 => array:2 [
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          "titulo" => "Introduction"
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          "titulo" => "Financial support"
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          "titulo" => "References"
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    "pdfFichero" => "main.pdf"
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    "fechaRecibido" => "2023-05-13"
    "fechaAceptado" => "2023-10-09"
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        0 => array:4 [
          "clase" => "keyword"
          "titulo" => "Keywords"
          "identificador" => "xpalclavsec1792414"
          "palabras" => array:5 [
            0 => "COVID-19"
            1 => "Child"
            2 => "Adolescent"
            3 => "Space-time"
            4 => "Clusters"
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    "resumen" => array:1 [
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        "titulo" => "Abstract"
        "resumen" => "<span id="abss0001" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0002">Objective</span><p id="spara009" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">To analyze the morbidity trend and space-time distribution clusters of confirmed COVID-19 cases in children and adolescents&#46;</p></span> <span id="abss0002" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0003">Method</span><p id="spara010" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">An ecological study of COVID-19 cases confirmed in the Information System from 2020 to 2022 in the age group from 0 to 19 years old&#44; residents in Mato Grosso municipalities&#44; Brazilian Midwest region&#46; A trend analysis of the monthly morbidity rate of cases&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants was used&#44; following <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Prais-Winsten</span>&#39;s regression&#46; A space-time distribution of the Bayesian incidence rate per 100&#44;000 inhabitants was performed&#44; in addition to a space-time scan to identify high-risk clusters&#46;</p></span> <span id="abss0003" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0004">Results</span><p id="spara011" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Of all 79&#44;592 COVID-19 cases studied&#44; 51&#46;6&#37; were in females and 44&#46;21&#37; in people aged 15&#8211;19 years old&#46; The mean monthly rate was 265&#46;87 cases per 100&#44;000 inhabitants&#44; with a stationary trend in the period analyzed &#40;Monthly Percentage Variation &#91;MPV&#93;&#41; &#61; 12&#46;15&#59; CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; -0&#46;73&#59;26&#46;70&#41;&#46; The morbidity rate due to COVID-19 was higher in the female gender &#40;283&#46;14&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41; and in the age group from 15 to 19 years old &#40;485&#46;90&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants&#41;&#46; An increasing trend was observed with a greater monthly time variation of 14&#46;42&#37; &#40;CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span>&#58; 1&#46;28&#59;29&#46;28&#41;&#93; among those aged from 10 to 14 years old&#46; The primary cluster&#44; which was also the one with the highest Relative Risk &#40;RR &#61; 5&#44;16&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#61; 0&#46;001&#41;&#44; included 19 municipalities located in the North health macro-region&#46;</p></span> <span id="abss0004" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="cesectitle0005">Conclusion</span><p id="spara012" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">The findings indicated a monthly stationary trend in the study population&#44; an increase in the age group from 10 to 14 years old&#44; and areas at a higher risk for the disease in the North health macro-region of the state&#46;</p></span>"
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          "en" => "<p id="spara001" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Space-time distribution of the COVID-19&#47;100&#44;000 inhabitants Bayesian incidence rates among children and adolescents aged from 0 to 19 years old&#44; Mato Grosso&#44; Brazil &#40;2020&#8211;2022&#41;&#46; Source&#58; Data from the INDICASUS Information System&#59; Mato Grosso &#40;SES&#47;MT&#41;&#46;</p>"
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">Interpretation&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">General&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0047"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">10&#46;63&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0048"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">0&#46;11&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0049"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">22&#46;26&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0050"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Increasing&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0051"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#8211;9 years old&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0052"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">13&#44;026&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0053"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;16&#46;37&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0054"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">3&#46;84&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0055"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">131&#46;77&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0056"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">138&#46;43&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0057"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">13&#46;09&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0058"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">0&#46;80&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0059"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">26&#46;88&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0060"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Increasing&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0061"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#8211;14 years old&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0062"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">18&#44;367&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0063"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;23&#46;08&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0064"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">1&#46;82&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0065"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">131&#46;24&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0066"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">207&#46;72&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0067"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">14&#46;42&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0068"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">1&#46;28&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0069"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">29&#46;28&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0070"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Increasing&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0071"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>15&#8211;19 years old&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0072"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">35&#44;194&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0073"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;44&#46;21&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0074"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">3&#46;14&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0075"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">146&#46;38&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0076"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">485&#46;90&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0077"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">12&#46;17&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0078"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#8722;2&#46;40&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0079"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">28&#46;91&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0080"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Stationary&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr></tbody></table>
                  """
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                  \t\t\t\t\tvoid\n
                  \t\t\t\t" class=""><thead title="thead"><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0081"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="top" scope="col">Variables&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0082"></a><th class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_colgroup " colspan="2" align="center" valign="top" scope="col">Morbidity</th><a name="en0083"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col">March2020&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col">March2022&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0085"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="top" scope="col">MPV<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tb2fn1"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">a</span></a>&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0086"></a><th class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_colgroup " colspan="2" align="center" valign="top" scope="col">CI<span class="elsevierStyleInf">95&#37;&#91;MPV&#93;</span><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tb2fn2"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">b</span></a></th><a name="en0087"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="top" scope="col">Interpretation&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th></tr><tr title="table-row"><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0089"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">n&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0090"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&#40;&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0091"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&#37;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><a name="en0092"></a><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&#37;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th></tr></thead><tbody title="tbody"><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0096"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Clinical situation Symptomatic&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0097"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">71&#44;862&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0098"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;90&#46;29&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0099"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">100&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0100"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">94&#46;41&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0101"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#8722;0&#46;17&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0102"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#8722;0&#46;59&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0103"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">0&#46;25&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0104"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Stationary&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0105"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>Asymptomatic&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0106"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">7730&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0107"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;9&#46;71&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0108"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">0&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0109"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">5&#46;59&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0110"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">2&#46;02&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0111"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#8722;2&#46;10&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0112"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">6&#46;31&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0113"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Stationary&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0114"></a><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_colgroup " colspan="9" align="left" valign="top">Comorbidity</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><a name="en0115"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top"><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>Yes&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0116"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">2628&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0117"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#40;3&#46;30&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0118"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">9&#46;52&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0119"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">2&#46;05&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0120"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#8722;6&#46;52&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0121"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#8722;9&#46;33&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0122"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">&#8722;3&#46;62&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><a name="en0123"></a><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="" valign="top">Decreasing&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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Article information
ISSN: 00217557
Original language: English
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